Yagi is poised to be the strongest typhoon to impact southern Guangdong and Hainan in a decade
Typhoon Yagi is heading towards the Leizhou Peninsula in the southernmost part of Guangdong Province and Hainan Island in China bringing extreme winds and heavy rain. According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) Warning #17, Yagi is currently in over the South China Sea with maximum sustained winds of 140 mph (222 km/h), making this storm equivalent to a Category 4 hurricane.
The JTWC forecast shows Typhoon Yagi continuing slowly west-northwest towards the Leizhou Peninsula and Hainan Island. The most extreme and damaging winds should stay far south of Hong Kong (Figure 1).
The forecast shows landfall will be late afternoon or early evening on Friday, Sep. 6 (local time). Fortunately, Typhoon Yagi should weaken on its approach toward land. As of Thursday, Sep. 5, Typhoon Yagi will have maximum sustained winds as high as 115 mph (185 km/h) by landfall.
Risk Quantification and Engineering (RQE®) and Navigate™ model users can download pre-landfall hazard-based proxy events from the Client Resource Center (CRC).
The last extreme typhoon to affect this area was Rammasun in 2014 (Figure 2). Typhoon Rammasun made landfall over the Leizhou Peninsula in July of that year as a Caetgory-5 equivalent super typhoon with winds of 160 mph (259 km/h). According to the China Meteorological Agency, Typhoon Rammasun affected millions of hectares of crops and damaged thousands of homes causing total economic damages of CNY 44.33 bn ($7.2 bn) in 2014 across Guangdong, Guangxi, Hainan, and Yunnan Provinces.
The CoreLogic Hazard HQ Command Central™ team will watch Typhoon Yagi and its impacts in China and Vietnam. Added analysis of the impacts will be provided after landfall.
CONTACT: Please email [email protected] with questions about Typhoon Yagi or any CoreLogic event response notifications. Visit www.hazardhq.com for updates and information on catastrophes across the globe.
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